Verified performance overview
Only ranges that have a completed market outcome are included in verified hit-rate calculations.
Performance by forecast horizon
Forecast Hit Rate, Qualified Forecast Hit Rate and the model-published TouchRate shown side by side for each prediction horizon.
Recent performance trend
Daily verified performance reconstructed from completed forecast ranges for the latest 14 days available.
Forecast-to-market verification
Forecast ranges and actual stored market candles on the same time axis. This makes individual outcomes visually inspectable.
OKX BTC/USD
2026-08-14 16:50:00 → 2026-08-14 22:50:00 · 1 min candles
Recent evaluated forecasts
A compact audit view of recently completed forecast ranges and their recorded result.
| Forecast | Market | Horizon | Forecast range | Published TouchRate | Result | Verified touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#3032
2026-08-14 21:44:44 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,835.5400 → 62,835.7400 | 60.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3032
2026-08-14 21:44:44 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,838.1200 → 62,838.2100 | 82.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3031
2026-08-14 21:41:44 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,829.5400 → 62,829.7400 | 51.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3031
2026-08-14 21:41:44 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,853.2700 → 62,853.3700 | 86.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3031
2026-08-14 21:41:44 |
OKX BTC |
90 min | 62,912.9000 → 62,913.0300 | 93.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 22:37:00 @ 62,912.9000 |
|
#3030
2026-08-14 21:38:45 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,828.1600 → 62,828.3600 | 52.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3030
2026-08-14 21:38:45 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,858.7500 → 62,858.8400 | 90.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3029
2026-08-14 21:35:44 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,837.5200 → 62,837.7200 | 53.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3029
2026-08-14 21:35:44 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,890.5500 → 62,890.6500 | 50.00% | not touched | — |
|
#3029
2026-08-14 21:35:44 |
OKX BTC |
90 min | 62,914.3400 → 62,914.4700 | 94.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:35:00 @ 62,914.3400 |
|
#3028
2026-08-14 21:32:44 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,897.4800 → 62,897.6800 | 77.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:32:00 @ 62,897.6800 |
|
#3028
2026-08-14 21:32:44 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,950.9900 → 62,951.0800 | 88.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:41:00 @ 62,950.9900 |
|
#3028
2026-08-14 21:32:44 |
OKX BTC |
90 min | 62,954.5800 → 62,954.7000 | 91.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:41:00 @ 62,954.5800 |
|
#3027
2026-08-14 21:29:43 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,924.2000 → 62,924.4000 | 50.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:29:00 @ 62,924.3000 |
|
#3027
2026-08-14 21:29:43 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,938.5500 → 62,938.6500 | 94.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:37:00 @ 62,938.5500 |
|
#3027
2026-08-14 21:29:43 |
OKX BTC |
90 min | 62,935.7100 → 62,935.8400 | 97.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:36:00 @ 62,935.7100 |
|
#3026
2026-08-14 21:26:43 |
OKX BTC |
30 min | 62,908.5000 → 62,908.7000 | 89.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:27:00 @ 62,908.7000 |
|
#3026
2026-08-14 21:26:43 |
OKX BTC |
60 min | 62,956.6900 → 62,956.7900 | 84.00% | touched |
2026-08-14 21:41:00 @ 62,956.6900 |
How these statistics are calculated
Public performance numbers should be understandable as well as visible.
Verified Forecast Hit Rate
Each forecast range has a defined validity interval. Stored market candles are checked against that range. A range is marked touched when the actual market reaches the published forecast zone during its valid horizon.
Hit Rate uses only completed touched + not touched observations. Pending, invalid and cancelled records do not count toward the denominator.
Qualified Forecast Hit Rate
Qualified statistics apply the same market verification, but only to forecasts that pass the current qualification rule.
The current rule displayed on this page is a published TouchRate threshold of 70% or higher. This threshold can evolve as the qualification model is refined.
Published TouchRate
Published TouchRate is the estimate included with the original model output. It is shown alongside the later verified result so visitors can compare model expectation with observed performance.
It is not substituted for the verified market result.
Market verification data
The verification chart uses the same stored market candles used by the validation process. Forecast zones and real High / Low / Close price movement are plotted on the same time axis.
Statistics are calculated periodically. The exact calculation time is displayed at the top of the page.